Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 13.828259 16.151082 18.685103 21.647051 25.006061 28.688749 33.023306
2025-05-04 10.097551 13.306493 17.171345 22.129864 28.279383 35.609252 44.956041
2025-05-11 7.714581 11.211074 15.768102 22.053499 30.395027 40.971379 55.262553
2025-05-18 6.030493 9.545434 14.448769 21.637405 31.726838 45.176614 64.210118
2025-05-25 4.809711 8.230741 13.304692 21.156266 32.725810 48.824574 72.513726
2025-06-01 3.886834 7.157732 12.293335 20.642424 33.495910 52.075308 80.367173
2025-06-08 3.060198 6.064944 11.056196 19.570278 33.240684 53.727117 85.941241
2025-06-15 2.747186 5.780787 11.054481 20.401210 35.912628 59.819211 98.352846
2025-06-22 2.416176 5.397729 10.819402 20.794265 37.884895 64.941908 109.589900
2025-06-29 2.029380 4.831104 10.172521 20.388566 38.475598 67.902774 117.627187
2025-07-06 1.658016 4.218427 9.344700 19.545811 38.214408 69.429315 123.431548
2025-07-13 1.552127 4.149901 9.542573 20.589228 41.295326 76.602764 138.719451
2025-07-20 1.447546 4.087365 9.787760 21.835667 45.004952 85.344621 157.585118
2025-07-27 1.279209 3.846251 9.644358 22.338439 47.459353 92.219006 173.956968
2025-08-03 1.090816 3.509657 9.241226 22.264306 48.817213 97.272166 187.553468
2025-08-10 0.910485 3.145241 8.710375 21.845267 49.448546 101.044022 199.123571
2025-08-17 0.756846 2.810395 8.185823 21.360218 49.880282 104.448968 210.210270
2025-08-24 0.627457 2.507375 7.680742 20.842107 50.174833 107.587502 220.964327
2025-08-31 0.496219 2.154044 6.977254 19.760979 49.166417 108.146555 226.976824
2025-09-07 0.459385 2.106363 7.075403 20.598880 52.341345 117.006649 248.952644
2025-09-14 0.410849 2.002036 6.998645 20.995219 54.574894 124.136942 268.014508
2025-09-21 0.344259 1.806286 6.623047 20.586131 54.959786 127.574080 280.157665
2025-09-28 0.276977 1.579771 6.107430 19.736308 54.241993 128.694357 287.822483